Turn Uncertainty Into Strategy.

Get recession timing signals, moving average overlays, and TrendSpider tools designed for forward-thinking investors.

Understanding Recession Timing Signals: A Beginner's Guide

Hello there, financial enthusiasts! This week, we're diving into the world of recessions. Don't worry, we're not predicting one, but it's always good to understand the signals that could indicate one is on the horizon. Let's unravel the mystery together! What is a Recession? A recession is a peri...

Sep 24, 2025

Mastering Moving Average Overlays: Essential Tips for Forward-Thinking Investors

Hello Forward-Thinking Investors! Welcome to this week's newsletter where we'll be diving into the world of Moving Average Overlays. This powerful tool can help you make informed decisions and maximize your investment returns. So, let's get started and master this essential skill together! Unders...

Sep 17, 2025

Maximizing Your Investment Strategy with TrendSpider Tools

Hello TrendSpider community! Welcome to this week's newsletter where we'll dive into how you can maximize your investment strategy using our powerful tools. Get ready to unlock new levels of understanding and potential in your financial journey. Understanding TrendSpider Tools TrendSpider tools a...

Sep 10, 2025

The Advanced Guide to Timing Markets with the Lutey Recession Indicator.

Why the Advanced Course is the Next Step The intermediate course is great for understanding the core signals and applying them to a broader investment strategy. But for hedge funds and professional investors, the stakes are higher, and the margin for error is razor-thin. The advanced course is de...

Jun 19, 2025

Important Update: Lutey Recession Indicator Signals "Sell"

Body: On March 27, 2025, the Lutey Recession Indicator officially posted a sell signal, triggered by the death cross on the MA 21 and MA 200 daily SP500. This is a critical moment, and the data suggests staying out of the market until at least mid-October 2025. But here’s the thing: this isn’t a ...

Jun 19, 2025

Applying the MA 21 and MA 200 in TrendSpider

Step 1. View the TrendSpider Chart for the death cross signaling the start of the Lutey Recession Indicator Step 2. You can use my affiliate link for TrendSpider to create an account here here. University students contact me for special pricing. Step 3. To re-create the above chart in Trend Spid...

Jun 19, 2025

Video of Current Market Conditions

Video covering the 2020 paper and current interest rate inversion and moving average crossover. https://vimeo.com/1075003910/633f0d34d2

Jun 19, 2025

Interest Rate Inversion

The data shows the rate inversion from 4/7/202 back until 2/26/2025 after a brief 49 day period of no inversion from 12/13/2024. This data is available from the treasury website.

Jun 19, 2025

Lutey Recession Indicator Applied to March 2025

Yield Curve Inversion + MA Crossover SP 500 observed a moving average (MA) crossover of 21 day and 200 day moving averages on the daily index around March 25, 2025. Prior to this, interest rates were inverted for most of 2023 and 2024. In this case, the relevant inversion period (272 days before ...

Jun 19, 2025

Lutey Recession Indicator Rules

Rules to Re-Enter the market Lutey Recession Indicator will only re-enter the market when: The MA crossover has ended, No yield curves are inverted from the 272 day offset prior to the MA cross, And no new inversions have occurred while the signal was active At that point, stop monitoring for s...

Jun 19, 2025

Turn Uncertainty Into Strategy.

Get recession timing signals, moving average overlays, and TrendSpider tools designed for forward-thinking investors.

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