Important Update: Lutey Recession Indicator Signals "Sell"
Body:
On March 27, 2025, the Lutey Recession Indicator officially posted a sell signal, triggered by the death cross on the MA 21 and MA 200 daily SP500. This is a critical moment, and the data suggests staying out of the market until at least mid-October 2025.
But here’s the thing: this isn’t a set-it-and-forget-it situation. The yield curve is still flashing warning signs, and it’s crucial to monitor for any new developments that could extend the timeline for re-entry.
Here’s what to watch for:
- Moving Average Signals: Keep an eye out for any new death crosses that could signal further downside risk.
- Yield Curve Inversions: If additional periods of interest rate inversion pop up between now and October, that could delay the re-entry window.
I recommend checking the Federal Reserve’s website regularly for updates on the yield curve. And don’t worry I’ll continue to post updates and decision rules here to keep you informed every step of the way.
Remember, the goal isn’t just to avoid risk it’s to position yourself for the best possible opportunities when the time is right. Stay patient, stay informed, and let’s navigate this together.
This version retains the technical details while making it more conversational and focused on guiding your audience. It also reinforces your role as the trusted voice they can rely on for updates. What do you think? Does this hit the tone you’re going for?
